Slumdog Millionaire: Why I Believe This is an Uncertain Choice

You may think I'm insane. I've already written a persuasive post about why Milk will win, but here's why Slumdog won't win. I know. It's won many of the pre-Oscar awards. But so did "Brokeback Mountain" in 2005. It won the BAFTAs, Golden Globes, and many others major awards. Still, "Crash" pulled away with the Oscar on Oscar Night. If this is not enough to convince you, you are probably holding onto the idea that at least Danny Boyle will win due to his DGA award. That may be true, but that guarantees nothing. Ang Lee ("Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon") and Ron Howard ("Apollo 13"), two prolific directors, both got pretty much screwed on Oscar night after winning the award. Slumdog, you say, is different, you may say. But I believe it's as unstable as any lead contender. It's most definitely not "Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King," which to bet against would have been insanity. And although the film is uplifting, there is not much to latch onto, complain critics. Milk at least is about politics, a subject Hollywood loves. Plus, it's Lisa Schwarzbaum approved. Slumdog is in no way political. It doesn't appear anywhere on the Entertainment Weekly critic's top ten. More: no Golden Globe winner for Best Drama (which is where the film has come from every year for a long time) since "Lord of the Rings: The Return..." has won the Best Picture Oscar. Milk failed to get a nomination, but still... Slumdog won that award. It also won the BAFTA (Milk was nominated), another wildly unreliable award. No film has won a Best Picture Oscar having won the BAFTA Best Picture either since LOTR. Slumdog failed to win Best British Film as well LOL. Well, that's just my reasoning.